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I'd say it's fifty-fifty.
It just doesn't add up any way you look at it.
It's got to be that, obviously.
That's the natural way to see it.
It might just be a misunderstanding.
I have no proof, but I'm pretty sure.
I'm all but certain.
Given the circumstances, that's most likely.
It's just a hunch, but that's how it feels.
I can't say for sure, but it's likely.
I can't think of any other explanation.
Call it a gut feeling, but I think it'll work.